Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.003648 0.003833 0.004023 0.004232 0.004457 0.004690 0.004953
2025-03-23 0.003277 0.003547 0.003835 0.004166 0.004538 0.004944 0.005422
2025-03-30 0.003038 0.003354 0.003701 0.004111 0.004585 0.005120 0.005774
2025-04-06 0.002889 0.003241 0.003635 0.004112 0.004679 0.005337 0.006167
2025-04-13 0.002687 0.003050 0.003463 0.003974 0.004593 0.005327 0.006276
2025-04-20 0.002590 0.002974 0.003419 0.003979 0.004671 0.005510 0.006622
2025-04-27 0.002536 0.002945 0.003425 0.004040 0.004816 0.005777 0.007083
2025-05-04 0.002437 0.002855 0.003353 0.003998 0.004826 0.005871 0.007322
2025-05-11 0.002355 0.002782 0.003296 0.003972 0.004853 0.005984 0.007586
2025-05-18 0.002278 0.002712 0.003240 0.003943 0.004871 0.006083 0.007833
2025-05-25 0.002251 0.002701 0.003257 0.004006 0.005012 0.006350 0.008325
2025-06-01 0.002193 0.002651 0.003220 0.003997 0.005054 0.006481 0.008630
2025-06-08 0.002130 0.002591 0.003170 0.003969 0.005069 0.006579 0.008894
2025-06-15 0.002057 0.002516 0.003098 0.003908 0.005038 0.006608 0.009056
2025-06-22 0.001992 0.002450 0.003035 0.003857 0.005016 0.006648 0.009235
2025-06-29 0.001952 0.002415 0.003012 0.003858 0.005067 0.006794 0.009583
2025-07-06 0.001864 0.002315 0.002899 0.003732 0.004929 0.006657 0.009477
2025-07-13 0.001831 0.002286 0.002880 0.003736 0.004981 0.006801 0.009827
2025-07-20 0.001819 0.002285 0.002898 0.003792 0.005110 0.007067 0.010389
2025-07-27 0.001773 0.002237 0.002852 0.003754 0.005096 0.007113 0.010587
2025-08-03 0.001735 0.002198 0.002816 0.003730 0.005103 0.007190 0.010841
2025-08-10 0.001697 0.002159 0.002779 0.003703 0.005103 0.007256 0.011079
2025-08-17 0.001689 0.002162 0.002800 0.003761 0.005236 0.007539 0.011714